Farage Ltd and Similar Watch

[Elephant Pyjamas]

State of it:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1931009938584723962

https://twitter.com/x/status/1930951134824284344

 

[PuntsWolf]

I’d expect Labour, Conservative and Reform to get 25% of the vote each in the next GE with the rest divided amongst Green, LD etc.

How that will transfer into seats, I don’t know. But there certainly isn’t “no chance” they get a hefty dollop of seats.

 

[Deutsch Wolf]

But there certainly isn’t “no chance” they get a hefty dollop of seats.

I wouldn't disagree with that. But they aren't forming a Government.

I doubt the Tories will trouble the 25% mark if the current moron is still in charge.

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

( last week I think we had a week of no crossings and not a single person illegally entering)

BBC News - More than 900 migrants cross Channel in one day

Channel migrants: More than 900 people arrive in one day

Fourteen boats arrived in the UK on Friday, as the number of migrants for the year tops 16,000.

www.bbc.com

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

I wouldn't disagree with that. But they aren't forming a Government.

I doubt the Tories will trouble the 25% mark if the current moron is still in charge.

The Tories would form a coalition with them if required. Why not? They've teamed up before.

 

[Deutsch Wolf]

The Tories would form a coalition with them if required. Why not? They've teamed up before.

If Reform do well enough to hit 25-30% of votes in a GE (we're a way off that being a reality) then the Tories will be reduced to virtually nothing. Their votes come from the same set of people.

They won't win enough to be outright winners and no-one worth anything will work with them in a coalition.

If you want to worry about it for four years then don't let me stop you.

 

[Paddingtonwolf]

Reform would need a lot more seats to be relevant, and their easiest way to that is cannibalising the Conservative vote

 

[Tredman]

I think they are cannibalising the Johnson Tory vote. That did not go well for Labour.

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

If Reform do well enough to hit 25-30% of votes in a GE (we're a way off that being a reality) then the Tories will be reduced to virtually nothing. Their votes come from the same set of people.

They won't win enough to be outright winners and no-one worth anything will work with them in a coalition.

If you want to worry about it for four years then don't let me stop you.

They are polling at around that rate and more now, and why do you think their support won't continue to grow?

The "blame foreigners" narrative has been rising and rising for years, and it's not as if Labour are fighting that narrative, they are actually agreeing with it. Which seems a totally stupid strategy - you're not going to get Reform voters to vote Laboue.

Not sure why you have to be so dismissive in your final sentence either.

 

[Deutsch Wolf]

Polling this far out from a GE means nothing.

UKIP won the most votes at European elections when we were still in the EU. Did they subsequently return many MPs, no.

I mean it just seems a pointless use of energy to me, they are not very likely to be the next Government for a long list of reasons, I personally would not want to use up nearly half a decade fretting about it.

 

[leedswolf]

1.093 Aufrufe · 51 Reaktionen | The far right are moving on from the small boats. In this video Alex Phillips first claims there will be a civil war in Britain in the next 5 years. She... | By Leeds for Europe | Facebook

The far right are moving on from the small boats. In this video Alex Phillips first claims there will be a civil war in Britain in the next 5 years. She...

www.facebook.com

 

[leedswolf]

https://bylinetimes.com/2025/06/09/...voters-nigel-farage-trust/#Echobox=1749955800

 

[PuntsWolf]

It’s not just “stop the boats” people voting reform though. People had had enough of the Tories and Labour are making a dogs dinner of their gift wrapped election result. So unless the Tories sort themselves out then a lot of votes will end up going to…

 

[BillyDee]

Yeah, I'm from a traditionally blue area that went red last GE. Plenty of people here just hate Labour, whatever they say or do. They realise the Torys are bust now, and that Reform is their best way to keep Labour away.

 

[jlo]

One saving grace is a general election won't be for another 4 years, but if it was today... (and take a pessimistic view to these numbers if you like)

General Election Prediction

 

[Jack Regan]

Wouldn't be surprised if the Tories are in a similar situation in three years time, then a fuck tonne of their MPs will defect to Reform if it looks likely they'll lose their seats if they stay blue. Would also solve some of reforms issues in finding viable candidates.

 

[Deutsch Wolf]

Laurence Fox releases the sure fire hit of the summer:

Head bowed down

Hears my thoughts. My debut album 'Holding Patterns' is available to pre-order now: http://po.st/LFDownload

on.soundcloud.com

Actually worse than Nick Knowles.

 

[Wellen Wolf]

Who is promoting Farage? Part 1.

New Reform Think Tank ‘Resolute 1850’ Run by Mining Magnates

A new research group set up to support Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is run by investors with business interests in the energy and metals industries, DeSmog can reveal Resolute 1850 is reportedly being launched in the Spring to “support Reform with policy development, briefing and rebuttal”...

www.desmog.com

 

[Wellen Wolf]

Who is promoting Farage? Part 2.

New Right Wing Think Tank With Links To Reform Plans Spring Launch

A new think tank that has recently met with Reform UK leader Nigel Farage is planning to launch in the next few weeks, PoliticsHome understands.

www.politicshome.com