Tetchy Rish! at it again

[Paddingtonwolf]

Solid start by the Beeb with a tweet from Laura the Tory stating Labour need a bigger swing than 1997 to get any sort of majority but ignoring the point that everything suggests they will smash that.

Plus excessive coverage of zero seats reform (well one of you count 30p u suppose)

 

[Deutsch Wolf]

Standard comparing apples with oranges there. Major was running a minority Government from 1996 onwards, of course you need a bigger swing.

They'll get it too.

 

[jlo]

Solid start by the Beeb with a tweet from Laura the Tory stating Labour need a bigger swing than 1997 to get any sort of majority but ignoring the point that everything suggests they will smash that.

Plus excessive coverage of zero seats reform (well one of you count 30p u suppose)

Forgets what the 2019 election was all about, even Boris knows those votes were lent for Brexit. I do wonder what it'd look like compared to 2015 or 2017 data.

Weirdly, assuming the outcome you want, you'd rather Reform get the coverage over say the Greens. Whose votes are going to either of them..!

 

[Tyrannosaurus Dan]

Forgets what the 2019 election was all about, even Boris knows those votes were lent for Brexit. I do wonder what it'd look like compared to 2015 or 2017 data.

IIRC, in 2019 the Tories won a lot of seats by small margins. Their victory could easily have been smaller than it was.

 

[BillyDee]

Labour not getting involved in organised tactical voting didn't help.

 

[Tony Towner]

Confirmed Rwanda planes won't be going before election and Labour will repeal, what a waste of fucking money just for a culture war

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

IIRC, in 2019 the Tories won a lot of seats by small margins. Their victory could easily have been smaller than it was.

Yeah around 3000 votes would have been enough to swing the overall outcome.

 

[ROVERT47]

Quote check, ‘so are you looking forward to the football’, Barry South Wales.

 

[Jack Regan]

Questioners at Sunak warehouse speech turn out to be Tory councillors

First campaign day marked by concerns about ‘plants’ in audience and PM putting Euros foot in mouth in Wales

www.theguardian.com

One way of avoiding any difficult questioning I guess.

 

[pr0sl0]

IIRC, in 2019 the Tories won a lot of seats by small margins. Their victory could easily have been smaller than it was.

I have long been frustrated by the description of 2019 as a "landslide victory" for this and other reasons. It was a fragile victory in a lot of ways, but most importantly "4/10 voters chose Party 1, 3/10 voters chose Party 2" is not an overwhelming difference in popular opinion. The way we tend to draw narratives from seat totals instead of vote totals under FPTP is really disruptive to any kind of sensible understanding of this country's political nature, and plays a big part in the mistaken idea that the UK is fundamentally conservative (or, well, fundamentally anything).

More generally, 365 seats is the kind of win that's initially stable, but still vulnerable to the kinds of natural attrition you can get over the course of a normal parliamentary term (by-elections, deaths, defections, etc), as indeed we've now seen with the 2019 parliament.

 

[Jolemai]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1793696325713994152

 

[Kenny]

Confirmed Rwanda planes won't be going before election and Labour will repeal, what a waste of fucking money just for a culture war

Gutting for Rishi, this has cost him £1000

 

[Tredman]

Come on clay heads, do the right thing for once.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1793352177055863242

 

[Tredman]

 

[Jolemai]

Apparently Sunak is refusing to honour that bet anyway.

 

[BillyDee]

He claims the person that took the money to go to Rwanda on a different scheme, having already had his asylum claim and appeals rejected, counts.
Because he's a dishonest POS.

 

[Johnny75]

He claims the person that took the money to go to Rwanda on a different scheme, having already had his asylum claim and appeals rejected, counts.
Because he's a dishonest POS.

He's done well to make himself look weaker today than yesterday.

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

What a stand up geezer.

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

Another "state of it"

https://twitter.com/x/status/1793924931597775085

 

[Elephant Pyjamas]

And how are "eco", "remain" and being "left wing" conflicting positions?